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Setup

Install packages

installed <- rownames(installed.packages())
if (!"remotes" %in% installed)
  install.packages("remotes")
if (!"rnaturalearthdata" %in% installed)
  install.packages("rnaturalearthdata")
remotes::install_github("birdflow-science/BirdFlowModels")
remotes::install_github("birdflow-science/BirdFlowR", build_vignettes = TRUE)

Load libraries

library(BirdFlowModels)
library(BirdFlowR)
library(terra)
#> terra 1.7.83
library(sf)
#> Linking to GEOS 3.10.2, GDAL 3.4.1, PROJ 8.2.1; sf_use_s2() is TRUE

Load model

The BirdFlow Science team has shared a collection of fitted models for use with the BirdFlowR package. The website includes reports on each species.

We can also access the collection index through the package.

# Load and print index
index <- load_collection_index()
#> Downloading collection index
print(index[, c("model", "common_name")])
#>                model        common_name
#> 1 amewoo_prebreeding  American Woodcock
#> 3 buwtea_prebreeding   Blue-winged Teal
#> 4 lobcur_prebreeding Long-billed Curlew
#> 5 swahaw_prebreeding    Swainson's Hawk

And we can load a model from the collection based on the model column from the index.
Note: in the vignette this block isn’t executed.

# Load a specific model
bf <- load_model("amewoo_prebreeding") # caches locally and loads from cache

This loads the smaller example model instead for efficiency of package building and testing, but do not use this one for science!

bf <- BirdFlowModels::amewoo # example and test dataset

Access basic information

dim(), nrow(), and ncol() all report on raster dimensions associated with the model. n_active is the total number of cells that the BirdFlow model can route birds through and is a subset of the cells in the raster.
n_transitions() and n_distr() report on temporal dimensions. If the model is_cyclical(), they will be equal.

# Methods for base R functions:
dim(bf)
#> [1] 22 31
c(nrow(bf), ncol(bf))
#> [1] 22 31
bf # same as print(bf)
#> American Woodcock BirdFlow model
#>   dimensions   : 22, 31, 52  (nrow, ncol, ntimesteps)
#>   resolution   : 150000, 150000  (x, y)
#>   active cells : 342
#>   size         : 12.5 Mb

# BirdFlowR functions
n_active(bf)
#> [1] 342
n_transitions(bf)
#> [1] 52
n_timesteps(bf)
#> [1] 52

# Contents
has_marginals(bf)
#> [1] TRUE
has_distr(bf)
#> [1] TRUE
has_transitions(bf)
#> [1] FALSE
is_cyclical(bf)
#> [1] TRUE

Species information and metadata

species_info() and get_metadata() take a BirdFlow object as their first argument. An optional second argument allows specifying a specific item, if omitted a list is returned with all the available information.

species(bf) is a shortcut for species_info(bf, "common_name")

Use ?species_info() to see descriptions of all the available information. Dates associated with migration and resident seasons are likely to be useful.

species(bf)
#> [1] "American Woodcock"
species(bf, "scientific")
#> [1] "Scolopax minor"
species_info(bf, "prebreeding_migration_start")
#> [1] "2021-01-18"
si <-  species_info(bf) # list with all species information
md <- get_metadata(bf)  # list with all metadata
get_metadata(bf, "birdflow_model_date") # date model was exported from python
#> [1] "2023-11-21 17:19:27.009766"

validate_BirdFlow(bf)  # throws error if there are problems

Spatial aspects

BirdFlow models are based on a raster representation of a time series of species distributions and contain all the spatial information necessary to recreate those distributions and to define how the raster is positioned in space. BirdFlowR uses the terra package to import raster data and provides BirdFlow methods for functions defined in the terra package - so that you can use those functions on BirdFlow objects.

crs() returns the coordinate reference system - useful if you need to project other data to match the BirdFlow object. res(), xres(), and yres() describe the dimensions of individual cells in the model. ext() returns a terra extent object.
compare_geom() tests if the extent, resolution, and CRS of two objects is the same. BirdFlowR includes methods to compare BirdFlow models with each other and with terra objects.

# Methods for terra functions:
a <- crs(bf) # well known text (long)
crs(bf, proj = TRUE)  # proj4 string
#> [1] "+proj=laea +lat_0=39.161 +lon_0=-85.094 +x_0=0 +y_0=0 +datum=WGS84 +units=m +no_defs"
res(bf)
#> [1] 150000 150000
c(xres(bf), yres(bf)) # same as res(bf)
#> [1] 150000 150000
ext(bf)
#> SpatExtent : -2550000, 2100000, -1650000, 1650000 (xmin, xmax, ymin, ymax)
c(xmin(bf), xmax(bf), ymin(bf), ymax(bf)) # same as ext(bf)
#> [1] -2550000  2100000 -1650000  1650000

# Compare geometries - do they have the same CRS, extent, and cell size
compareGeom(bf, rast(bf))
#> [1] TRUE

BirdFlow objects also play nicely with the sf package.

bb <- sf::st_bbox(bf)
crs <- sf::st_crs(bf)

Retrieve and plot distributions

A distribution in BirdFlow is stored as a vector of values that correspond to only the active cells (n_active()) in the model. Multiple distributions are stored as matrices with n_active() rows and a column for each distribution.

We can retrieve distributions in this format with get_distr(). Use timestep, character dates, date objects, or “all” to specify which distributions to retrieve.

Retrieve the first distribution and compare its length to the number of active cells.

d <- get_distr(bf, 1) # get first timestep distribution
length(d)  # 1 distribution so d is a vector
#> [1] 342
n_active(bf)  # its length is the the number of active cells in the model
#> [1] 342

Get 5 distributions, the result is a matrix in which each column is a distribution with a row for each active cell.

d <- get_distr(bf, 26:30)
dim(d)
#> [1] 342   5
head(d, 3)
#>       time
#> i      June 28       July 6      July 13 July 20      July 27
#>   [1,]       0 0.000000e+00 0.000000e+00       0 0.000000e+00
#>   [2,]       0 9.342922e-06 8.769396e-05       0 1.607396e-06
#>   [3,]       0 1.499294e-05 4.842432e-05       0 1.748452e-06

We can also specify distributions with dates, or use “all” to retrieve all the distributions.

d <- get_distr(bf, "2022-12-15") # from character date
d <- get_distr(bf, "all")  # all distributions
d <- get_distr(bf, Sys.Date())  # Using a Date object

Use rasterize_distr() to convert a distribution to a SpatRaster defined in the terra package. The second argument, the BirdFlow model, is needed for the spatial information it contains.

d <- get_distr(bf, c(1, 26)) # winter and summer
r <- rasterize_distr(d, bf) # convert to SpatRaster

Alternatively convert directly from BirdFlow to SpatRaster with rast(). The second (optional) argument which accepts the same inputs as which in get_distr().

r <- rast(bf) # all distributions
r <- rast(bf, c(1, 26))  # 1st, and 26th timesteps.
plot(r)

BirdFlowR provides convenience wrappers to functions in rnaturalearth that load vector data and then crop and transform it to make it suitable for plotting with BirdFlow output.

Note: until rnaturalearth has fully transitioned away from legacy packages you may see a warning about them, but BirdFlowR does not use the legacy packages or data formats itself.

r <- rast(bf, species_info(bf, "prebreeding_migration_start"))
plot(r)
coast <- get_coastline(bf)  # lines
plot(coast, add = TRUE)

Forecasting

In this section we will sample a single starting location from the winter distribution and project it forward. We will generate a distribution of predicted breeding grounds for birds that wintered at the starting location.

Set predict parameters.

    start <- 1     #  winter
    end <-  26     # summer

Sample starting distribution

sample_distr() will sample from one or more input distribution to select a single location per distribution. The result is one or more distributions with ones in the selected location(s) and zero elsewhere.

set.seed(0)
d <- get_distr(bf, start)
location <- sample_distr(d)

print(i_to_xy(which(as.logical(location)), bf))  # starting coordinates
#>         x       y
#> 1 -225000 -525000

Project forward from this location to summer

predict() returns the distribution over time as a matrix with one column per timestep.

The plot shows where birds that winter at a particular location are likely to be as the year progresses and ultimately where they might spend their summer. The probability density spreads as the weeks progress.

f <- predict(bf, distr = location, start = start, end = end,
             direction = "forward")

r <- rasterize_distr(f[, c(1, 7, 14, 19)], bf)
plot(r)

Additionally, we can calculate the difference between the projected distribution and the distribution of the species as a whole at the same timestep.

projected <- f[, ncol(f)]  # last projected distribution
diff <-  projected - get_distr(bf, end)
plot(rasterize_distr(diff, bf))

Generate synthetic routes

Here we sample locations from the American Woodcock winter distribution and generate routes to their summer grounds.

Set route parameters.

n_positions <-  15 # number of starting positions
start <- 1         # starting timestep (winter)
end <- 26          # ending timestep (summer)

Generate starting locations

First extract the winter distribution, then use sample_locations() with n = n_positions to sample the input distribution repeatedly. The result is a matrix in which each column has a single ‘1’ representing the sampled location.

d <- get_distr(bf, start)
locations  <- sample_distr(d, n = n_positions, bf = bf, format = "xy")
x <- locations$x
y <- locations$y

Plot the starting (winter) distribution and sampled locations.

winter <- rasterize_distr(d, bf)
plot(winter)
points(x, y)

Generate routes

route() will generate synthetic routes for each starting position. route() returns a BirdFlowRoutes object which is at it’s core a data frame with a row for each timestep of each route, but also includes some additional spatial and temporal information from the BirdFlow object.

rts <- route(bf, x_coord = x, y_coord = y, start = start, end = end)
head(rts$points, 4)
#> NULL

The route() function can sample starting locations from the distribution for the starting timestep so the following is equivalent to the preceding two sections.

rts2 <- route(bf,  n = n_positions,  start = start, end = end)

We can specify the date range with any arguments supported by lookup_timestep_sequence() so an alternative to the above with slightly different start and end dates is to use the season argument. Here we route during the prebreeding migration.

rts3 <- route(bf, n = n_positions, season = "prebreeding")

Using base R plotting to plot routes

Plot the route lines over the summer distribution along with points at the starting and ending positions.

d <- get_distr(bf, end)
summer <- rasterize_distr(d, bf)

line_col <- rgb(0, 0, 0, .2)
pt_col <- rgb(0, 0, 0, .5)

plot(summer)
points(x, y, cex = .4, col = pt_col, pch = 16) # starting points

lines <- sf::st_as_sf(rts, type = "line")  # convert to sf lines
#> Set crs based on geom attribute.
plot(lines, add = TRUE, col = line_col)  # routes

end_pts <- rts[rts$timestep == end, ]  # end points
points(x = end_pts$x, y = end_pts$y,
       cex = 0.4, pch = 12, col = pt_col)

title(main = species(bf))

Or use plot_routes()

plot_routes() will visualize time as a color gradient using ggplot2 with stop point dots that indicate how long a bird was at each stopping point.

plot_routes(rts, bf)